The 2024 NFL Draft is within the books, which is a good check-in spot for futures betting.
With lots of of rookies becoming a member of the league on new groups, subsequent yr’s panorama has been shifted, creating worth within the markets.
Let’s check out some futures bets which have worth as we sit up for the 2024 NFL season.
Bears to make the playoffs (-104, BetRivers)
A brand new period begins in Chicago with No. 1 general decide Caleb Williams coming into the fold as the brand new franchise quarterback.
The favourite to win Offensive Rookie of the 12 months (+200), Williams ought to be anticipated to have instant success on this offense.
Shane Waldron, who comes from the Sean McVay teaching tree, has loads of skill-position expertise to work with in his first yr as Chicago’s offensive coordinator.
The Bears ranked fifth in pass-block win fee final season, and now they’ve a loaded large receiver room after buying and selling for Keenan Allen and drafting Rome Odunze.
Few groups have the secondary expertise to compete with the trio of proficient receivers that additionally contains DJ Moore.
Matt Eberflus’s protection was effectively on its manner final yr, rating fifth in EPA/play over the second half of the season, and so they solely added one participant to that group through the draft as a consequence of their restricted amount of picks.
Nevertheless, Kansas’s Austin Booker crushed on the Senior Bowl in opposition to a few of the draft’s high offensive tackles and is barely 21 years previous with loads of upside to supply.
The Bears have been shut to creating the playoffs final yr, ending simply two video games out after going 2-6 in one-score video games. This yr, based on the projected win totals at the moment obtainable on sportsbooks, they’ve the third-easiest schedule within the NFL, per Sharp Soccer.
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP (+650, FanDuel)
There’s a case to be made for betting Patrick Mahomes to win MVP each season, however that’s very true this yr.
Final season, the Chiefs relied on Justin Watson and Marquez Valdes-Scantling as their field-stretching downfield receivers. That wasn’t chopping it, and Kansas Metropolis addressed that want this offseason.
First, the Chiefs signed Marquise Brown. With poor quarterback play final season in Arizona, Brown ranked 96th amongst large receivers in catchable goal fee, per PlayerProfiler. Brown provides elite velocity and ball-tracking abilities, which the Chiefs will optimize.
Then within the first spherical of the draft, the Chiefs traded up with the Payments to pick out Texas’ Xavier Worthy, who ran a 4.21-second 40-yard sprint on the NFL mix, the quickest 40 time ever recorded on the scouting occasion.
Betting on the NFL?
His profile has some flaws, and I’d have seen him as a Day 2 prospect on most groups, however Andy Reid and Mahomes have the power to make him a star along with his blazing velocity and noteworthy acceleration.
Brown and Worthy will consistently stress defenses deep downfield, opening up extra alternatives beneath for Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice.
Whereas Rice has a looming suspension, he confirmed loads of promise in his rookie season.
Mahomes surprisingly ranked thirty eighth out of 40 certified quarterbacks in deep-ball passer ranking final season, after rating high seven within the two prior seasons. With Brown and Worthy within the fold, the Chiefs have rectified their lack of downfield pass-catching colossally. In consequence, anticipate Mahomes to have an enormous rebound in his stats.
The +650 odds on MVP may appear brief to put money into now, however that quantity results in an implied likelihood of 13.3 %. Should you simulated this season 100 instances, greater than 13 of them would lead to a 3rd MVP trophy for the longer term Corridor of Fame quarterback.